Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.208360 0.241126 0.277333 0.320312 0.369942 0.425464 0.492313
2025-09-21 0.153443 0.196461 0.248930 0.317639 0.405285 0.513428 0.657152
2025-09-28 0.125986 0.173023 0.234456 0.320575 0.438279 0.593708 0.814926
2025-10-05 0.111789 0.162568 0.232693 0.336618 0.486884 0.696601 1.012250
2025-10-12 0.099716 0.152382 0.228716 0.347428 0.527653 0.791532 1.208409
2025-10-19 0.089610 0.143152 0.224187 0.355763 0.564429 0.883333 1.409456
2025-10-26 0.080245 0.133497 0.217337 0.358942 0.592643 0.964063 1.601575
2025-11-02 0.071016 0.122665 0.207012 0.354771 0.607800 1.024786 1.767245
2025-11-09 0.061927 0.110796 0.193382 0.343088 0.608465 1.060891 1.894594
2025-11-16 0.057403 0.106162 0.191262 0.350577 0.642334 1.155881 2.133328
2025-11-23 0.052641 0.100467 0.186534 0.352661 0.666441 1.235755 2.353134
2025-11-30 0.048918 0.096202 0.183811 0.357914 0.696584 1.329059 2.607254
2025-12-07 0.043898 0.088957 0.174915 0.350792 0.703133 1.380419 2.789819
2025-12-14 0.039951 0.083358 0.168549 0.347878 0.717588 1.448526 3.013551
2025-12-21 0.037125 0.079667 0.165473 0.351094 0.744470 1.543501 3.301841
2025-12-28 0.036002 0.079376 0.169191 0.368662 0.802764 1.707770 3.752581
2026-01-04 0.034406 0.077869 0.170186 0.380500 0.850106 1.854086 4.181188
2026-01-11 0.032699 0.075909 0.169975 0.389628 0.892448 1.993979 4.611162
2026-01-18 0.030686 0.073012 0.167388 0.393109 0.922463 2.109918 4.999888
2026-01-25 0.028264 0.068884 0.161588 0.388541 0.933459 2.184322 5.300668
2026-02-01 0.025518 0.063662 0.152716 0.375747 0.923671 2.210009 5.488654
2026-02-08 0.024388 0.062244 0.152598 0.383949 0.965134 2.359693 5.993913
2026-02-15 0.022982 0.059973 0.150188 0.386231 0.992263 2.477802 6.433908